Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Terrorist leader's son instructs American on YouTube propaganda video


A legal US resident pleaded guilty last week to providing material support to the Pakistani-based terrorist group Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) by making a propaganda video and distributing it on the Internet. Jubair Ahmed, who moved from Pakistan to Virginia at the age of 19, attended LeT terrorist training camps as a teenager. After moving to the US, he made a propaganda video with guidance from Talha Saeed, the LeT leader’s son, and posted the video to YouTube.

It is interesting that the son of a high profile terrorist leader is spending his time instructing some lowly recruit on how to create a propaganda video. Just goes to show how important terrorist groups find the use of social media to propagate their ideology.

The video, titled “Hafiz Muhammad Saeed Qunoot e Nazila Very Emotional,” consists of a prayer by Hafiz Muhammad Saeed, the leader of LeT, calling for the support of jihad and the mujahideen. Email me if you’d like a copy of the video.

Friday, September 30, 2011

Awlaki is (reportedly) dead... So does it matter?

Anwar al-Awlaki, an American-born cleric turned Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) member with immeasurable influence on Western jihadists, was reportedly killed today by a U.S. drone strike in Yemen. Equally as important, but less widely reported in the media, is that along with him was Samir Khan, another American who joined AQAP in Yemen two years ago. Khan was the primary editor of the famous Inspire Magazine, an English-language online magazine that taught Westerners how to be a part of the jihadist movement. The seventh issue of the magazine was released just two days ago.  

Awlaki and Khan – though not key leaders of AQAP as has been reported – were crucial for the production of AQAP’s English language propaganda. If they are dead, this is a huge loss for all English (and Arabic) speaking jihadists that were inspired by these individuals. 

While these individuals (particularly Awlaki) can never be replaced – they way everyone tried to decide who would replace Osama bin Laden – the ideology propagated by these men will continue to live on.  This is why, much like with the death of bin Laden, the movement will not die with its leaders. Instead, Al Qaeda and its affiliates have managed to create an ideology that is supported by its grassroots movement, ensuring its survival. 

For an in depth analysis of how Awlaki became the most likeable terrorist among Western supporters, read: You Too Can Be Awlaki!

Thursday, August 18, 2011

The Dangerous Side of Online Gaming

Last week I spoke at the Wharton Business School of the University of Pennsylvania’s “For the Win” conference. I focused on how extremist Internet users are increasingly adopting the marketing trend known as “gamification,” in order to fuel deeper and more dedicated user engagement. Knowledge @ Wharton, the online business journal at the Wharton School, wrote the following article about my presentation (read online here).  

The Dangerous Side of Online Gaming
Posted on August 17, 2011

Gamification has taken off as a phenomenon in U.S. business and social policy circles, but now it seems to have infiltrated the world of terrorism as well. One of the more unexpected uses of gamification — or the application of online game design techniques in non-game settings — to arise in discussions at Wharton’s recent “For the Win” conference is by Al Qaeda and Islamic extremist groups in their engagement with new members. Conference panelist Alix Levine, director of research at security consulting firm Cronus Global, analyzes Al Qaeda and Islamic extremist propaganda for a living. “I had never heard of gamification until February, but I’ve seen game mechanics in [Muslim extremist] propaganda, videos, lectures and websites,” she said.
For example, Levine noted that Inspire, the colorful English-language online magazine reportedly published by Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, featured in its summer 2010 issue an article entitled, “How to Make a Bomb in the Kitchen of Your Mom,” which detailed how to make a pipe bomb out of commonplace ingredients. Authors of the article laced game-like devices throughout the story, asking readers playful questions, such as, “How many ingredients can you find in your kitchen?” Several extremists arrested by Western authorities have been found in possession of this article, according to Levine.
Al Qaeda uses online game techniques, in particular, to draw new recruits into deeper engagement. By playing on recruits’ competitiveness and desire to build status and recognition within the extremist community, Al Qaeda websites allow “you to earn points for the quantity and quality of your posts,” Levine noted. “When you post and when people thank you for your post, you level up,” eventually earning promotions from peasant to VIP, for example. Users can then earn rewards for their status and accrued points, such as changing the color of their user names or gaining permission to use an avatar.
The ultimate reward is admission to a password-protected Al Qaeda website, where more serious terrorist actions are discussed and there is greater potential to turn a committed online jihadist into a real-world weapon of terror. To attain entry, users must prove they are committed to the movement by attaining high status within the starter website and obtaining the recommendation of a respected member of the community.
Almost every hard-line Islamic extremist site offers a point system to users, wrote Jarrett Brachman and Levine in an April 13 Foreign Policy article on the world of gamification among extremists. The article cited a Britain-based website called Salafi Media, which measures a user’s status by a “fundamentalism meter.” The higher a user is ranked on this meter, the more power he or she wields in the online community.
While for the most part, the Wharton conference focused on how to use gamification to increase engagement in legitimate business and other contexts, Levine appealed to attendees to “turn everything backwards” in their consideration of gamification in terrorism and to offer suggestions on how to disrupt engagement. Levine offered one example of the successful disengagement of a 22-year-old member of the Revolution Muslim Group in New York City. He had been admitted to a coveted password-protected site and was even made interim president of his group, but suddenly left the movement. The reason: He lost a very public theological debate with a higher-status colleague online. He was kicked off all forums and never reentered the community, because the process of rebuilding his online identity and status would be too painstaking.
For more coverage of the “For the Win” conference visit our special section.

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Inspire #6: Making Jihad Fun

The long awaited sixth issue of Inspire Magazine, an Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) production, was released on hardline websites last night. This is the first issue released since Osama bin Laden was killed over two months ago. What took so long, you ask? Well, they explain the delay:

 “Things have been quite hectic over here. The country is falling apart and our brothers are busy picking up the pieces.” 
Hmmmm, sounds like a roundabout way of saying drone attacks.

All in all, this issue is the same as the previous ones. It includes essays/speeches written by Al Qaeda leaders, instructions on how to use an AK-47 and build an explosive (this time acetone peroxide) and encourages Westerners to join the jihadi movement.

Just like in previous issues, the sixth edition of Inspire uses humor to gain readership and encourage engagement among its readers. Inspire has truly become a gamified space - in other words game-like attributes are used in this clearly non-game environment to make light of the situations discussed in the magazine and engage with readers who may otherwise not be interested. For more information on how Al Qaeda uses online game theory to recruit the masses, see the article that Jarret Brachman and I wrote in Foreign Policy: The World of Holy Warcraft.

Below are a few excerpts from Inspire #6 using humor or making light of the situations they are discussing:














Thursday, July 14, 2011

The Online Postings of Emerson Begolly

Emerson Begolly, a Pennsylvania man with an extensive extremist online history, was indicted today for soliciting extremists to engage in acts of terrorism. He was previously arrested and charged in January for allegedly assaulting two FBI agents and firearms-related charges.

The indictment outlines a number of Begolly’s problematic postings on Ansar al-Mujahideen English Forum (AMEF) in 2010, including his support for 9/11 and his encouragement of others to carry out violent acts of terror. The indictment, however, just merely touches on the hundreds of posts that Begolly posted online since at least 2005.

Begolly - called “The Nasheed Master” by the Al Shabaab-linked message board Al Qimmah - wrote and recorded a number of Islamic songs, which he and others posted on an array of extremist message boards. Some of his more radical songs include “When the Jew’s Blood Reds my Knife, then my Life is Free from Strife” and another nasheed written as a tribute to Taimour Abdulwahab, the Iraqi who carried out a suicide attack in Sweden in December 2010. 

In addition to his anasheed, Begolly expressed support for an array of gruesome terrorist attacks, including the November 2009 Fort Hood attack.
While it may seem shocking that this young American-born Penn State student could produce such gruesome posts, comments and songs, the reality is that Begolly is just one of almost 200 Americans arrested and charged for their involvement in this type of terrorist activity.

Please feel free to contact me for an archive of Begolly's anasheed, additional information on Begolly, or other Americans involved in terrorist-related activities.

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Google’s Response to Keeping Extremism out of Social Media


Over the past couple of months, Google’s role in countering violent extremism has been the topic of much debate. On the one hand, Google has taken the initiative to help in this endeavor by organization a Summit Against Violent Extremism (which I attended, see my review of the conference here).  On the other hand, YouTube (owned by Google) contains hundreds of extremist and terrorist videos. In addition, other Google owned subsidiaries, like Blogger, also contain extremist content. 

Below is Google’s response to Senator Joseph Lieberman’s questions: 

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Google’s Summit Against Violent Extremism

**See below for comment by Charles Cameron**
Last week I joined Google, the Council on Foreign Relations and Tribeca Film Festival as an invited delegate at their Summit Against Violent Extremism (SAVE). The delegates consisted of 80 former extremists (right wing, gang, Islamist etc.), a number of survivors, as well as professors, leaders of non-profits and other analysts in the field. 

In the aftermath of the conference there have been many critics, but not many enthusiasts. Some of the critiques include: 
-- It is impossible to understand extremism when you look at each different type of extremist ideology as a whole.
-- Google proposes using technology to counter extremism, but technology also facilitates the spread of extremist ideologies.
-- The government and academic programs have been working to solve this problem for years, so how can Google now take on this initiative and expect to succeed?

I agree, but.... 

Nobody else has taken on this initiative in this way. As somebody who attended the summit, I can say first hand that the emotions and enthusiasm at the conference were powerful enough to overcome many of the obstacles. Former extremists across the spectrum identified with each other in a way I never thought possible - one highlight of the conference was when a former gang member from LA taught a former Muslim extremist a new handshake. 

Throughout the conference, delegates had breakout sessions where we were tasked with coming up with a new idea to help combat violent extremism. At the end of the conference, delegates voted on their favorite idea. While the ideas were enlightening, what struck me was the excitement and enthusiasm in the room during the vote. Leaders of groups were parading around explaining their ideas with such genuine passion that it was impossible to be in this room and not be inspired by Google’s effort. 

Instead of critiquing Google’s effort, it will be more productive and valuable to  work in unison with Google on their mission to “initiate a global conversation.” There is no real downfall to having another avenue at which to approach this problem, and while I understand some of the pessimism surrounding the debate, I hope that more people will join in on the conversation in a meaningful and (gasp) positive way. We all have the same end goal, so maybe it’s time to stop critiquing each other and start working together.

Comment by Charles Cameron:
I'm comparing Will McCants' response to the Google Ideas conference on FP [http://goo.gl/lVIO2] with yours, and I'm glad you wrote as you did. 

McCants – whose work I generally admire -- opens his comments by quoting Jared Cohen to the effect that the purpose of the conference was to "initiate a global conversation". McCants then more or less dismisses the conference itself a couple paragraphs later with the words "If these are indeed the conclusions of the conference, Google Ideas needs more thinking and less doing in its approach". 

Conclusions? How does he get so quickly from "initiate" to "conclusions"?

Okay, we all know that a conference can lead to a volume of proceedings read mostly by the authors themselves and a few aspiring students eager to follow-my-leader and dead end there – but this conference was very clearly intended to be the start of something, not the wrap-up. 

So your comment, "Instead of critiquing Google’s effort, it will be more productive and valuable to work in unison with Google on their mission to 'initiate a global conversation'" seemed to me to bring us back to the actual intent Google had announced for the conference, and you reinforce that when you write, "I hope that more people will join in on the conversation in a meaningful and (gasp) positive way."

My questions are: how and where do we do this?

There will have been contacts made at the conference that will lead to an exchange of emails, no doubt – but that's not a global conversation.

Here are some of the problems I foresee:

(a) siloing: the conversation limiting itself to a few constituences, each of which talks mainly among its own members, leading to (b) group think: in which the widely assumed gets even more firmly entrenched as "wisdom", with (c) secrecy: meaning that potentially relevant information is unavailable to some or all participants, all of which add up to (d) blind spots: topics and approaches that still don't get the attention and exploration they deserve.

The solutions would need to include:

(a) networked diversity: by which I mean a structured means of getting the unpopular or minority opinion front and center (compare business brainstorming in which a facilitator ensures even the "quiet ones" get heard, and that even poor ideas are expressed without critique until a later, evaluative stage), (b) contrariety: meaning that whatever ideas are "easily dismissed" get special attention, with (c) transparency: meaning that whatever could be redacted and made partially available is made available, not (as in US Govt "open source" material, closely held), so that (d) oddballs and outriders get to participate…

Jami Miscik who was Deputy Director for Intelligence at the time, caught my attention when she said in 2004, "Embrace the maverick". Oddballs aka mavericks make the best contrarians, because they start from different premises / different assumption bases. Miscik accordingly invited science fiction and film writers to interact with her analysts at CIA, and found that when they did, they produced 80% already known ideas, 10% chaff, and 10% new and "valid" scenarios (http://goo.gl/qzQXq). But even then, "science fiction and screen writers" is a box...

Cross-fertilization, questioning of assumptions, passion, reverie, visualization, scenario planning, play – the number of strategies that could be employed to improve the chances of a successful new insight emerging are many and various – unkempt artists probably know some of them better than suits with high IQs and clearances, and Google clearly knows this, too…

But where?

I mean, what Google+ circles do any of us join to join this global conversation? What twitter hashtag brings us together under one roof? When's the follow up in my neck of the woods, or yours? 

What's the method for getting the conversation widespread, well-informed – and scaleable, so the best of the grass roots and local ideas can find their way to the influential and informed, and the best insights of the influential and informed can percolate through to the grass roots and local?

Lastly, I'd like to thank Google for getting a dialog going between those with a range of subjective experiences of radicalization, and those whose job it is to understand and thus be able to interdict it. Demonization never got the situation in Northern Ireland anywhere near peace – listening did.

And thank you too, Alix, for your own contribution. Let's move the conversation onwards.

Friday, June 10, 2011

Big Week for Al Shabaab News

This week the FBI confirmed the identity of one of the suicide bombers in the May 30 suicide attack in Somalia as St. Paul resident Farah Mohamed Beledi (pictured right). Soon after the attack, Al Shabaab identified the suicide bomber as Abdullahi Ahmed, another Somali-American from Minneapolis. The FBI has yet to announce whether the second suicide bomber is in fact Ahmed.

On the same day that Beledi was identified as one of the suicide bombers, another Somali-American was arrested and charged with providing material support to Al Shabaab. Ahmed Hussein Mahamud, 26, of Westerville, Ohio, allegedly conspired with others to provide money and personnel to the terrorist group. He will be transferred to Minneapolis to face trial, where he was indicted earlier this week. 

Beledi and Mahamud are just two of at least 34 people charged in the U.S. in the past few years in connection with Al Shabaab. Twenty-one of these individuals are in U.S. custody, while 13 others are at large or believed to be dead. In addition to those officially charged on terror offenses, at least 6 others are believed to have been killed while fighting with Al Shabaab, including Shirwa Ahmed, the first known American suicide bomber. 

Reports are coming out today that a female Al Shabaab fighter has carried out a suicide attack on the Somali
Minister of Interior’s house, injuring him. While her identity has not yet been confirmed, there are three other women charged on terror offenses linked to Al Shabaab who have been arrested in the U.S. These three women - Nima Ali Yusuf, Amina Farah Ali and Hawo Mohamed Hassan - have all be charged with aiding Al Shabaab.

While recent events have forced us to focus more on AQ Central, AQAP, TTP and LeT -- this week alone proves that we have to continue to be concerned about Al Shabaab. 

Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Hizb ut-Tahrir America Keeps on Trucking

Despite canceling their second annual Khilafah conference last summer because they lost their venue,  Hizb ut-Tahrir America - the US-based sect of a global Caliphatist movement - has announced that
they will be holding their third annual Khilafah conference at the end of this month in Chicago. Learning their lesson from the previous year, the venue location is still TBA.

In addition to posting the conference announcement on their website, HT also announced the conference on Facebook. HT is very active on mainstream social networking sites, as are many of its members.

At their 2009 conference, HT speakers advocated for replacing the US constitution with shari’a law and implementing an Islamic Caliphate in the US.  One speaker urged the audience to fight for Islamic law in the US “unless and until Islam becomes victorious or we die in the attempt.” 

While HT claims that they advocate a non-violent ideology, the group has a history of encouraging jihad “to fight the enemy and repel them.” HT also frequently urges for Muslims to “blow Israel off the map” and “fight the Jews.” So far, HT in America has not endorsed violence publicly. 

Stay tuned for more details about the upcoming event. In addition - if you’d like more information about some of the US-based individuals involved in HT in America, please contact me

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Arrest of American who Threatened South Park Creators

Younus Abdullah Muhammad (aka Jesse Curtis Morton), who has been charged with threatening the creators of South Park, was arrested in Morocco on May 27 and awaiting extradition to the US, according to his website IslamPolicy. The alleged arrest is also posted on his facebook page. 

Despite a warrant issued for his arrest several weeks ago, Abdullah Muhammad continued to post entries on his blog as well as hardline Islamic forums until the day he was arrested. In one such entry on his blog, he reposted the original threat against the creators of South Park - the very document that got him into this trouble in the first place. 

In another post on the day of his arrest, Abdullah Muhammad threatens Shi’a Muslims, saying: “May Allah (swt) destroy the dirty rawafid shia and humilate all those that try to portray permissibility in this age for cooperation with them...” This is just one of the various veiled threats Abdullah Muhammad has issued against the US, Jews, and Shia Muslims, among others, over the past several years since he co-founded Revolution Muslim in 2007. 

Prior to being charged with communicating threats, Abdullah Muhammad exclaimed “We are all Osama bin Laden” in the wake of bin Laden’s death. “It is our duty today to reflect not on what we are doing and to celebrate nostalgically as if being a fan and supporter puts us on the same playing field, no rather we should reflect on what we are not doing realizing that we all must strive to be more and more like Osama bin Laden,” he wrote.

The arrest of Abdullah Muhammad does not mean the end of the extremist messages propagated by Revolution Muslim/Islam Policy. There are still a number of individuals linked to the group who continue to post comments in support of this extremist ideology. It should be interesting to see how this group attempts to recover with the arrest of their leader. In a way this can be likened to the death of Osama bin Laden - in the same way that al-Qaeda’s ideology will live on, so too will this group’s ideology, no matter who is the next leader. 
 

Another Woman Convicted on Terrorism Charges

Last week, Amera Akl pleaded guilty to attempting to provide funds and other equipment to Hezbollah along with her husband, Hor Akl. The Akl’s, who both hold dual American and Lebanese citizen
ship, attempted to conceal $200,000 a vehicle they planned to send to Lebanon.

This marks the fourth American couple motivated by a radical interpretation of Islam to be arrested and charged on terrorism offenses in the past 10 years, though three of the four instances occurred in the last year. In each of these instances, the wife (or ex-wife in one of the cases) played a supporting role for her husband as he engaged in terror activities. 

The number of women engaging in terror activities in the U.S. is increasing rapidly. For more info see, Jihad Jamie: Trend Analysis

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Op-Ed: Gaming the System

**Note: This op-ed was originally posted on The Gamification Blog, and can be found here**
Gaming the System: Changing the Course of Online Radicalization
Alix Levine is the Director of Research for Cronus Global, a security consulting firm. She specializes in the study of homegrown extremism and online mobilization. You can find her at www.alixlevine.com.
We all know that the purpose of gamification is to drive consumer participation. I fly on Continental Airlines because I want to obtain elite status and I buy my coffee at Starbucks in order to level up on my Starbucks rewards. But just as corporations have figured out a way to engage consumers in a more meaningful way and encourage brand loyalty, al-Qaeda’s marketing gurus aren’t trailing too far behind.
Similar to most other online social spaces, virtually every hardline Islamic website attributes ranks to their members based on the number and the quality of their posts. As members are more engaged on the forum, they can level up in status, earn badges, and obtain trivial online rewards like changing the color of their username or adding an avatar.
As I note in my Foreign Policy article on this topic, its not just Islamic extremist sites that implement gaming mechanics into the architecture of their websites. Other hardline sites also use gamification to encourage engagement among their users, including the popular white supremacist forum Stormfront, which allows users to level up in status based on their posts in the forum.
In addition to gamified websites, al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups also gamify their propaganda materials. Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’s (AQAP) English-language magazine, titled Inspire, uses gimmicky phrases to downplay the seriousness of their very dangerous message. The magazine teaches readers how to “Make a Bomb in the Kitchen of your Mom,” a dangerous and illegal task that when presented in a rhyming phrase makes the undertaking more appealing and achievable. By gamifying the message, AQAP is able to lower the threshold between virtual and reality, between unattainable and within reach.
The result of gamification in the jihadi online space is increased engagement. As more and more game mechanics are employed on the extremist forums, an increased number of users will become even more engaged, ultimately spending longer durations of time on the forums talking about more things related to militancy. Gamification has enabled extremist forums to successfully create jihadi superusers. The concern is that these superusers will eventually decide to live up to their virtual identities that they have created, and carry out violent acts in the real world.
This isn’t a far-fetched concern. The majority of Westerners arrested on terror-related charges have used the Internet at some point of their radicalization process. A 20-year old boy from Virginia, for instance – who came to fame last year for threatening the creators of South Park – was active on at least a dozen different social online spaces that employed gaming mechanisms, ranging from hardline Islamic extremist forums to the mainstream social networking sites like Facebook, YouTube and Twitter. He reached such a high status through his online postings, that the well known New York-based extremist organization Revolution Muslim asked him to run their website. Six months later he was arrested for attempting to join an al-Qaeda linked terrorist group in Somalia and communicating online threats; he was sentenced to 25 years in prison.
Within a two-year span, this boy went from a promising young star to an unemployed college dropout who spent nearly every waking hour posting about his support for terror, how to raise your children with the values of jihad (he has a child of his own), and how to propagate jihad online. The fact that someone with no real world connection to extremists can reach such an elite status virtually is very telling of how powerful gaming elements can be for up and coming online extremists.
For years counterterrorism analysts have been exploring options for combatting online extremism. On one end of the spectrum are those who argue that we should remove every extremist site from the Internet. However, this not only disregards our first amendment right, but it also neglects the fact that a site can simply move to a different URL. On the other end of the spectrum are those analysts that believe we should make more of these sites and use them as honeypots, entrapping as many extremists as we can so that others are scared. Neither of these tactics have proven successful, and as the Internet has become more prevalent in our lives, it has also become the driving factor of radicalization for the majority of Islamic extremists.
The counterterrorism field has never used the theories of gamification to help us understand online radicalization. Analyzing the current situation with this new framework helps build an understanding for what motivates the online extremist community. While this framework has helped tremendously in our understanding of online extremism, I am now looking to game mechanics to guide me toward an understanding of how to counter online extremism.
So my question to you is how do we reverse the process of online radicalization using game mechanics? In other words, can we use gamification to influence these online communities in a positive way, rather than driving them further toward extremism? This is not an easy challenge and I do not expect easy solutions. But as gamification becomes more and more a part of our daily lives, it will inevitably increase at an equal pace for online jihadists. The challenge is figuring out how to disrupt the game flow, and I wholeheartedly believe that gamification is the answer – but how?